Psychology Capsules

Human instinct routinely botches probability, from the gambler's fallacy to ignoring base rates. These reasons range from stubborn cognitive biases and how badly we encode randomness to systematic fixes like Bayesian updating that override the guesswork. You can decide which explanations and tools help you think more clearly about chance.

Millions take the Myers-Briggs for work and self-understanding, but whether it measures anything real is hotly contested. These views range from rejecting its forced either-or categories, to failing psychometric reliability, to preferring science-backed models, to defending it as a useful nudge for personal growth. Read them to decide how much weight your type deserves.